He’s an outside bet for the title but you never know. My other half (not on the forum) picked him as well.
Can't disagree with anything that's been said (I voted Bagnaia, think he'll just have the edge on Marquez even if fully fit) and I'm not discounting Mir if the Suzuki has a bit more speed this year. I saw an interview from Gardner, like his attitude, want's to switch off the electronics so he can understand the bike before throwing electronic fixes at it, a future star IMO. Looks like the Yam is going to be too slow, always liked Morbidelli but suspect knee and slow Yam is going to hold him back again this year, would be nice to see him on a Ducati in VR's team. So much talent, so many what ifs.
I'm not sure Marquez will be 100% fit for the start of the season. That shoulder injury has ended careers for other riders. It may be that his sharp edge has been permanently dulled. But he's such a talent, who knows. Morbidelli had a great 2020, even without a factory bike. If he's fully fit, which he says he is, I wouldn't be surprised to see him regularly in the top six at least. Suziki have supposedly improved the hole-shot device, which may help Mir. At least until next year, when he goes to Honda...maybe. I agree about Gardner. He seems very grounded and focussed. A really hard worker.